Here’s another one for the global warming crowd
on October 17th, 2006 at 5:32 amRemeber this?
NOAA PREDICTS VERY ACTIVE 2006 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON – NOAA release
NOAA today announced to America and its neighbors throughout the north Atlantic region that a very active hurricane season is looming, and encouraged individuals to make preparations to better protect their lives and livelihoods. May 21-27 is National Hurricane Preparedness Week.
During a news conference at the NOAA National Hurricane Center, Deputy Secretary of Commerce David A. Sampson noted, “Preparation is the key message that President Bush wants to convey during National Hurricane Preparedness Week. The impact from these storms extends well beyond coastal areas so it is vital that residents in hurricane prone areas get ready in advance of the hurricane season.”
“For the 2006 north Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA is predicting 13 to 16 named storms, with eight to 10 becoming hurricanes, of which four to six could become ‘major’ hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher,” added retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. (more…)
That was a press release given before the 2006 hurricane season. I also remember the “predictions” sounding a bit more scarier right after Katrina.
Here are a couple of excerpts from another article.
Forecasters say one big reason the U.S. has been spared so far is a low-pressure system off the East Coast that has been a shield against which storms just bounce off.
[...]
Two main factors have contributed to the coastline calm: A high-pressure system in the Atlantic known as the Bermuda High last year was centered close to Bermuda, but now is positioned hundreds of miles to the east. That, in turn, has made room for a low-pressure system to develop in the Atlantic between the Carolinas and Bermuda.
“Instead of high pressure pushing hurricanes toward the United States there has been low pressure that repels hurricanes,” said Lixion Avila, a forecaster at the National Hurricane Center.
[...]
Lixon Avila (a forcaster for the National Weather Center) makes the following comment:
“Don’t be fooled by anybody that they know what’s going to happen in two weeks,” Avila said. “We don’t know if this pattern is going to go or stay.”
So again this leaves me back to my original question on this issue: If scientists are not able to ACCURATELY predict the weather “in two weeks”…, awww you know the rest.
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Other information rarely discussed
Kill the martians!
Global warming on Mars? (space.com)
In the other study, led by Michael C. Malin, features at the south pole were observed to retreat by up to 10 feet (3 meters) from one Martian year to the next.
The odd shapes — circular pits, ridges and mounds — were first photographed in 1999. Since then, the features have eroded away by up to 50 percent.
The pits are growing, the ridges between them shrinking.
Caplinger and Malin caution that a year’s worth of data does not reveal when this erosion began or how long it will continue. Yet they speculate that the features could have been created in a Mars’ decade and may erode away completely within one to two decades.
“We know that the pits we see at the surface today are not very old, and that they will not last very long,” Malin said. (more…)
Kill the aliens that live on Triton too!!
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